Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.306791 0.407179 0.517474 0.645712 0.788978 0.942605 1.118379
2025-08-31 0.155764 0.279031 0.432887 0.628840 0.863593 1.129268 1.446841
2025-09-07 0.092674 0.219898 0.396363 0.635815 0.935312 1.284736 1.712173
2025-09-14 0.048700 0.168677 0.356991 0.629239 0.983382 1.407462 1.936123
2025-09-21 0.020345 0.124908 0.316284 0.611771 1.010688 1.499650 2.119200
2025-09-28 0.010968 0.112130 0.318627 0.650370 1.107663 1.675249 2.400578
2025-10-05 0.005891 0.105305 0.328539 0.698378 1.216097 1.864510 2.698153
2025-10-12 0.002130 0.095645 0.331137 0.734323 1.307695 2.032336 2.969563
2025-10-19 0.000864 0.094582 0.348744 0.792329 1.428795 2.237224 3.286252
2025-10-26 0.000066 0.089283 0.356944 0.835398 1.529339 2.416073 3.571192
2025-11-02 NaN 0.074944 0.344061 0.844277 1.582161 2.533786 3.780788
2025-11-09 NaN 0.048180 0.296235 0.793394 1.549401 2.540173 3.851648
2025-11-16 NaN 0.025687 0.247041 0.736757 1.508618 2.538642 3.917301
2025-11-23 NaN 0.014819 0.221541 0.717288 1.519484 2.603721 4.066088
2025-11-30 NaN 0.009869 0.212165 0.725133 1.569294 2.719331 4.277737
2025-12-07 NaN 0.004954 0.195837 0.717986 1.595729 2.803258 4.448936
2025-12-14 NaN 0.001372 0.174993 0.699278 1.603164 2.860741 4.585771
2025-12-21 NaN 0.001231 0.183832 0.740646 1.702879 3.043019 4.882385
2025-12-28 NaN 0.001439 0.197434 0.792000 1.818192 3.246630 5.206575
2026-01-04 NaN 0.001198 0.204773 0.830378 1.913501 3.423232 5.496322
2026-01-11 NaN 0.001760 0.223328 0.892196 2.045261 3.649469 5.849936
2026-01-18 NaN 0.001754 0.234161 0.938009 2.152322 3.842320 6.160915
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000694 0.227642 0.947446 2.202922 3.958528 6.373653